The Gulf Monarchies Are Far More Vulnerable Than They Look neutralitystudies

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The Gulf Monarchies Are Far More Vulnerable Than They Look neutralitystudies

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the UAE announced its exit from OPEC. How do you How do you interpret that? Does it have something to do directly or indirectly with the war? And do you think it is rather move in order to please the United States, or is it on the contrary something that just again shows that the that the structure that we are used to is actually unraveling? How How do you view it? Well, think the Emirates are is as is doing this to to move closer to the United States and Israeli regime. But think that the the UAE regime really doesn't quite understand how things have changed. We are not going to go back to the past. And the there will no longer be UAE that we knew of 2 and 1/2 months ago, 3 months ago, 6 months ago. That That era is gone. that scene class, the billionaire class, lot of the money the dirty money that would go through the Emirates. don't think it's going to go It's going to be that money is going to go there like before, which is good thing for the people of the region and the Emirates itself. The drug money from Afghanistan, which which has been misery for the entire region and beyond. that all goes through through the Emirates, all the almost all the drug money over the years, especially during the US occupation of Afghanistan, where the production was went through the roof. it almost exclusively went through the Emirates. Or lot of the minerals that are stolen from African countries through the dirty wars and and through the this through supporting militias and different countries, those those resources that are being stolen, the gold and and and and other valuable underground elements, they the money goes through the Emirates. And And also the the gold itself and and other other African wealth that is stolen, lot of it physically actually goes through the Emirates. So, that that era is is over. And the the Emirates being this hub for the elite and the rich, that's not going to ever happen again. And if if the war continues, believe that probably the the regime itself won't survive. It's been depending on how things play out. because if, for example, the United States carries out another war against targeting as it has threatened to, critically running infrastructure, then Iran is going to do the same to US proxies. because they're the ones who are facilitating it. Remember, without these five countries, war against Iran is not really is not possible. Because they use their territory both for logistical support, but also to actually carry out these attacks. And it is subsidized. all of their expenditures in the Arabian Peninsula is paid for by these governments. It's not like in Well, don't know the details of Japan, but for example, in the case of Japan, think that you have you the United States doesn't pay for those bases. But Japan does not pay, if I'm not mistaken, for the electricity, for the water supplies, for everything in all of these bases. Japan pays for lot. It's Japan pays for lot. It's part of the deal. It's like protection for protection for bases, which come with basically Japanese payments. Not everything, but good part of it. Well, everything is paid for by these countries, everything. And so, the Americans are basically waging this war to to large extent through the funding of these countries. So, it's not it's not only just their territory, but it's their wealth that's being used to So, these these countries wanted to have their cake and eat it, too. They wanted to be part of the assault on Iran, but say that they are neutral, which is not possible. but it's an insult to the intelligence of Iranians. So, whenever they repeat this, Iranians become increasingly unhappy. But in any case, if if the United States restarts the war, then the Iranians are going to retaliate just like they did before. If the Americans escalate, the Iranians will do so. And think that will be the end of these these these countries. Because if their critical infrastructure is destroyed in the in the summer, life cannot be sustained. Everyone will have to leave. And you will have literally many millions of people leaving because it's five countries, many millions of people leaving these countries for Iraq, for Oman, and and think that will that And then think global economic depression, not recession, depression, is assured. But have you My prediction when when we saw what happened to the Gulf states is that this will will create tremendous geopolitical pressure on them to actually distance themselves from the United States. mean, just regarding that the US is not capable of defending them and even worse is is willing to throw them under the bus and and and accept that they get destroyed in the process of their war. Now, extracting themselves from the US embrace and and getting rid of new the bases is something that will take many, many years. And it's actually Iran's bit that up because it destroyed some some much of it. but the Did you see any political signs over the past weeks that would indicate that rethinking is happening at least in some of these in some of these states? Because mean, we do have And you just you just called it out. We have Oman, right? Which has very different strategy towards Iran and is way more neutral, quote and quote, than the rest. isn't that registering like little little by little in these in these Gulf monarchies or the dictatorships, as as as you point out? Or is it Are they just structurally so much embedded to the United States that it's it's it's impossible for those leaderships to actually extricate themselves? Well, you're you're absolutely correct. Oman is not as you basically were implying, is not neutral. It is it it is very close to the United States, but it is neutral enough for Iran. And so, Iran has very good relations with the country. And the Iranian foreign minister has just visited Oman in his in his regional tour to Pakistan, Oman, and Russia. So, and I'm sure that during their his negotiations in Muscat in in the capital, that he that they had discussions about how to deal with the these five monarchies. But what we're seeing on the ground is the exact opposite. Right now, large numbers of US ground troops are assembling in these countries, in Kuwait, in Bahrain, and in the others. Large numbers of planes to to to provide jet fuel to refuel air bombers and and and aircraft that will attack Iran are assembling in Saudi Arabia alongside in in the Israeli regime. So, so right now they're they're all doing the opposite. They are allowing the Americans to prepare for new assault on Iran. whether it's because they're just proxies, that their their leaders are compromised, it it's it's difficult to say. just like why is it that Trump does this anyway? Is it because he's compromised? Is it because of the Epstein files? Is it Is it because he's been bought off by by the the Zionist lobby and the oligarchy? It's it's unclear. There's no definitive answer out there for for for us to to see, to make an assessment. But these people are most probably all compromised in one way or another. These monarchies, as you know, they they've been bound to the west. They they send their families to the west. They're very wealthy. They they they steal big chunk of the country's wealth for them for themselves. And they lead to super wealthy and whose wealth is usually illegitimate, you can imagine that they have many skeletons in their in their closet. So, just find it very difficult to imagine that they will be that they will be willing to break away from the United States. And saying, "Look, we we don't mean, if they said that if the these five countries together today, like in 2 hours from now, they announced in joint statement that we will not allow our airspace, our land, and our seas to be used by the United States to wage war against Iran, and we are completely neutral, and the United States is is not allowed to do any of these things. The war would be over. It would be finished. And then we would be able to move on to the next stage just by that statement. Because as said, logistically speaking, it would be impossible for the Americans to wage war. They could carry out some limited strikes on the country through Diego Garcia or through Syrian and airspace, the Mediterranean, the Israeli regime and and illegally flying over Iraq because the Iraqi government doesn't accept any of this. But that would be very limited and very difficult for the United States and basically that would mean the war is over.
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